Economic Calender
Label: Forex News
European Market Recap: European Bonds Fall, Equities Lower
According to Eurostat, industrial production in the monetary union fell 1.6% from October to November, in line with the previous month's fall, but up from the 2.1% decline expected.
On an annualized basis, industrial output slipped 7.7% in November, down from both the 6.1% decline forecast and October's 5.7% fall.
The five-year Bobl was down 23.5 ticks to 116.48, the two-year Schatz down 6.5 ticks to 107.82 and the March 2009 Euribor contract trading down 0.5 ticks to 98.09.
The spread between the 10-year Bund and 10-year U.S. Treasury notes narrowed 1.010 bps to -71.60.
UK 30-year bond yields were up 2.5 bps to 4.01%, five-year bond yields were up 5.4 bps to 2.80%, while yields on the two-year bond were up 7.5 bps to 1.67%.
The March 2009 Short Sterling contract was down 2.0 ticks to 98.54.
Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes were up 2.6 bps to 2.319%.
European stock markets were declining with the Eurostoxx down 34.73 points to 2070.81, the UK FTSE 100 down 73.25 points to 4325.898 and the German DAX down 70.75 points to 4566.19.
The Japanese Nikkei was trading up 24.54 points to 8438.45.
The Canadian dollar was up 0.15 cents to 0.8183 against the USD (1.2215 USD/CAD). Against the euro, the loonie was down 0.11 cents to 0.6184 (1.6172 CAD/EUR).
The U.S. dollar was down 0.10 to 89.28 and the euro was up 0.34 to 118.18, both against the yen.
The euro was up 0.54 cents to 1.3238 while the pound sterling was up 0.29 cents to 1.4531, both against the USD.
The euro was up 0.20 cents to 0.9111 pounds.
The Swiss franc was up 0.44 cents to 1.1145 against the USD and down 0.03 cents to 1.4755 against the euro.
All data were taken at 5:11 a.m. EST.
Generated by CEP Newswires
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The Copying, Broadcast, Republication or Redistribution of CEP News Content is Expressly Prohibited Without the Prior Written Consent of CEP News.
Label: Forex Fundamental Analysis, Forex News
Harga Minyak Diatas $ 37 Per Barel
Fri Dec 26, 2008 3:41pm EST
Oil climbed in thin post-holiday trade on Friday after the United Arab Emirates said they will deepen supply cuts in line with OPEC's biggest-ever output cut announced last week and the dollar weakened against the euro.
U.S. crude settled at $37.71 a barrel, up $2.36. London Brent rose $1.76 to settle at $38.37.
The gains broke a nine-day stretch of losing sessions.
"The only positive news (for the market) ... came from the UAE," Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix wrote in a report. "For now at least, Saudi Arabia and the UAE seem to be fully complying with the cuts."
Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC), the main producer in the UAE, the world's fifth-largest oil exporter, said it would cut February supplies of Murban and Upper Zakum by 15 percent and Lower Zakum and Umm Shaif by 10 percent each.
A source with an Asian refiner said the ADNOC cuts were more than expected.
"ADNOC had already allocated January volumes, but they reversed the decision, so that messes up our schedule," the source said. "For February, the reduction volumes are very large, so we may need to adjust our ship loadings."
The allocations follow a decision last week by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to reduce supplies by 2.2 million barrels per day.
Top exporter Saudi Arabia informed its customers even before the OPEC meeting they would be receiving less oil.
The OPEC reduction is its deepest ever as the producer group battles a market slump that has sliced more than $110 off the price since a July peak above $147 a barrel.
Oil prices were also lifted as the dollar weakened against the euro amid concerns about the U.S. economic downturn.
An additional supportive factor was thin trading volume on Friday after oil markets were closed Thursday for Christmas.
On Wednesday, U.S. crude settled more than $3 lower after government data showed jobless claims in the United States, the world's biggest oil burner, had risen to a 26-year high and that consumers had cut spending for the fifth consecutive month in November.
Asian economies, once seen as a guarantee of high oil demand even if the United States faltered, have not escaped.
Consumption was also seen sliding by 5.7 percent in the fiscal year ending next March, the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan, said this week.
Signal, Rabu 24 Desember 2008
S1= 1.3886
S2= 1.3846
S3= 1.3779
R1= 1.3993
R2= 1.4060
R3= 1.4100
GBPUSD meneruskan bearish skenario kemarin. Pasang bottomed di 1,4671 dan tutup di 1,4727. Prasangka tinggal bearish. Di samping pembentukan segi empat di sehari-hari grafik, kami mempunyai pembentukan segitiga jiplakan di per jam grafik menyokong bearish pandangan. Patah tulang ke downside dari segitiga bisa memicu lebih lanjut bearish gerak-gerik terhadap 1,4500-1,4550 luas. Perlawanan segera dimengerti di 1,4810 mengikui di samping 1,4870. Bantuan pertama di 1,4671 (dasar kemarin).
GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 1.4633
S2= 1.4539
S3= 1.4407
R1= 1.4859
R2= 1.4991
R3= 1.5085
USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 90.19
S2= 89.49
S3= 89.10
R1= 91.28
R2= 91.67
R3= 92.37
FX Instructor LLC www.fxinstructor.com, www.actionforex.com
Rekomendasi Signal :
EUR/USD
- Sell di level 1.3906 TP 3850
- Buy di Level 1.4007 TP 1.4086
GBP/USD
- Sell di level 1.4654 TP 1.4600
- Buy di Level 1.4879 TP 1.4940
GBP/JPY
- Sell di Level 133.21 TP 132.50
- Buy di Level 134.65 TP 135.00
- Untuk entry,perhatikan karakteristik masing-masing pair, karena setelah menyentuh level konfirmasi trendnya, biasanya akan ada koreksi. Nah, entrynya di level terendah koreksi dari pair bersangkutan
- Jangan memaksakan diri masuk pasar, jika tidak yakin apalagi kondisi pasar tidak mendukung.
- Disiplin dan Jangan Serakah
- Pakel Stop Loss
Signal,Selasa 23 Desember 2008
URUSD mencoba mendorong lebih tinggi kemarin, diatasi di 1,4124 tetapi lebih jauh momentum yang menunjukkan gejala meningkat ditolak sewaktu pasang berakhir merendahkan di 1,3940, membentuk pembentukan kandil Doji di sehari-hari grafik. Di per jam grafik kami bisa melihat bahwa pasang merapatkan pembentukan segi empat yang adalah konsolidasi/penerusan pola. Prasangka ialah bearish. Patah tulang di bawah 1,3903 rata juga bisa dipertimbangkan sewaktu patah tulang pembentukan segi empat, bisa bergerak lebih jauh bearish momentum yang menjadikan 1,3750 sebagai sasaran dan 1,3575 luas. Perlawanan segera dimengerti di 1,4050 mengikui di samping 1,4124 (ketinggian kemarin). CCI hanya menyeberang 100 bulu burung garis di sehari-hari grafik menyarankan potensi downside tekanan.
EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 1.3854
S2= 1.3768
S3= 1.3633
R1= 1.4075
R2= 1.4210
R3= 1.4296
GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 1.4674
S2= 1.4528
S3= 1.4370
R1= 1.4978
R2= 1.5136
R3= 1.5282
USDJPY ditukar lebih tinggi kemarin. Pasang yang diatasi di 90,49 dan ditutup di 90,23. Kami mempunyai saluran harga yang menunjukkan gejala meningkat di per jam grafik dan pembentukan segi empat. CCI hanya menyeberang -100 antri di sehari-hari grafik. Fakta ini sebaiknya menyangga skenario yang menunjukkan gejala meningkat di paling dekat masa. CCI di membeli terlalu banyak luas dan tentang untuk menyeberang 100 bulu burung garis di per jam grafik menyarankan potensi downside pullback menguji 89,50 menyokong rata. Perlawanan pertama di 90,49 (ketinggian kemarin). Patah tulang diatas derajat itu bisa memicu momentum menunjukkan gejala meningkat lebih lanjut terhadap 91,90 luas.
GBPJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 89.49
S2= 88.75
S3= 88.25
R1= 90.73
R2= 91.23
R3= 91.97
FX Instructor LLC www.fxinstructor.com
Rekomendasi Signal :
EUR/USD
- Sell di level 1.3900 Target Profit 1.3815
- Buy di level 1.4078 Target Profit 1.4140
GBP/USD
- Sell di level 1.4678 Target Profit 1.4600
- Buy di level 1.5125 Target Profit 1.5220
GBP/JPY
- Sell di level 132.50 Target Profit 131.46
- Buy di level 134.77 Target Profit 136.00
Catatan:
- Untuk entry,perhatikan karakteristik masing-masing pair, karena setelah menyentuh level konfirmasi trendnya, biasanya akan ada koreksi. Nah, entrynya di level terendah koreksi dari pair bersangkutan
- Jangan memaksakan diri masuk pasar, jika tidak yakin apalagi kondisi pasar tidak mendukung.
- Disiplin dan Jangan Serakah
- Pake Stop Loss
Signal,Senin 22 Desember 2008

Sesudah melanggar pembentukan segi empat ke downside di per jam grafik, EURUSD mempunyai bearish momentum pada Jumat. Pasang bottomed di 1,3826 dan tutup di 1,3907. Kami mempunyai bearish harga saluran di per jam grafik. Tetapi awal-awal hari ini di Asia sidang bearish saluran sudah dilanggar ke upside. Prasangka netral di paling dekat masa tetapi kami masih utuh dengan bearish pandangan di sedang masa mengarah 1,3750 luas. CCI hanya menyeberang -100 antri di 4h grafik menyarankan potensi upside mendesak pengujian 1,4050 dan 1,4182 luas perlawanan.
EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 1.3719
S2= 1.3531
S3= 1.3236
R1= 1.4202
R2= 1.4497
R3= 1.4685
GBPUSD meneruskannya 's bearish skenario pada Jumat. Pasang bottomed di 1,4810 tetapi tertutup lebih tinggi di 1,4927. Prasangka tinggal bearish di lebih panjang masa menjadikan 1,4550 sebagai sasaran. Tetapi CCI tentang untuk menyeberang -100 antri di 4h grafik menyarankan potensi upside mendesak pengujian 1,5040 dan 1,5190 luas perlawanan. Bantuan segera dimengerti di 1,4750.
GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 1.4762
S2= 1.4598
S3= 1.4386
R1= 1.5138
R2= 1.5350
R3= 1.5514
USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:
S1= 88.54
S2= 87.77
S3= 87.12
R1= 89.96
R2= 90.61
R3= 91.38
FX Instructor LLC www.fxinstructor.com
Rekomendasi Signal :
EUR/USD
- Sell dilevel 1.3825 Target Profit 1.3650
- Buy dilevel 1.4212 Target Profit 1.4320
- Sell dilevel 1.4811 Target Profit 1.4680
- Buy dilevel 1.5125 Target Profit 1.5220
- Sell dilevel 132.51 Target Profit 131.00
- Buy dilevel 135.08 Target Profit 136.00
Catatan:
- Untuk entry,perhatikan karakteristik masing-masing pair, karena setelah menyentuh level konfirmasi trendnya, biasanya akan ada koreksi. Nah, entrynya di level terendah koreksi dari pair bersangkutan
- Jangan memaksakan diri masuk pasar, jika tidak yakin apalagi kondisi pasar tidak mendukung.
- Disiplin dan Jangan Serakah
- Pake Stop Loss
Dollar mulai Menguat
Dollar kembali tenang karena harga minya mundur kembali dari rekor tertingginya dan Wall Street pulih dari dua hari tekanan jual.
John Rivera dari Forex Capital Management mengatakan para pedagang menunggu laporan penjualan rumah bekas (existing) AS pada Jumat, yang dapat menyediakan petunjuk apakah sektor tersebut dan ekonomi secara keseluruhan sudah stabil. "Sebuah pemulihan dapat mengurangi keperluan untuk penurunan suku bunga oleh Federal Reserve. Namun, penurunan penjualan rumah baru bulan lalu mengisyaratkan bahwa pelemahan akan terus berlanjut di pasar. Sejauh pasar perumahan terus merosoth, prospek pertumbuhan ekonomi untuk AS akan terus memerlukan dorongan," paparnya.
Pasar sedang mempertimbangkan sinyal Federal Reserve pada Rabu, bahwa ekonomi AS akan berantakan tanpa penurunan suku bunga lagi. Berlanjutnya lebijakan moneter longgar the Fed akan menekan dolar, menjadi kurang menarik bagi para investor.
Dalam perdagangan terakhir di New York, dolar berada pada 1,0305 franc Swiss naik dari 1,0250 franc pada Rabu. Pound menguat menjadi 1,9802 dolar dari sebelumnya 1,9728 dollar. (ANT).(Sumber :kompas.com)
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Label: Forex Fundamental Analysis, Forex News